The Bulwark Daily

The Iran war and its impacts at home are major issues in the midterms, but POTUS is not finished with his misadventure in the Middle East. One key Democratic senator who's been briefed on the war plan says it's "insane" and would lead to a "devastating escalation" of the conflict. In rosier news, the polls continue to look good for the Democrats. Bill—who was bullish back in the summer—is even more so now, while Tim remains nervous about the Senate margin. And in a special bonus segment, JVL and Tim break down Haley Stevens's psychotic break over the weekend. 
Bill Kristol and Jonathan V. Last join Tim Miller.
show notes:

Monday’s “Morning Shots”

Carville’s famous speech in “The War Room” 

Anderson Cooper’s full interview with Haley Stevens on Sunday

The Bulwark's election night coverage on YouTube and Substack

Lauren on the legal planning to counter Trump's election meddlng

Closing Song: MJ Lenderman - “She’s Leaving You”

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Our vice president made up a confusing story about a trip to an emergency room because almost everything he does is a performative act to play to voters he thinks are dumb. Over at the White House, POTUS flip-flopped and un-canceled his Midwest rallies—so there will be more opportunities for the flat-out racism to keep flowing into Election Day. Plus: Polls and early voting numbers are keeping the anxious optimism going, Melania's Epstein press conference in April makes a lot more sense now, a Bulwarky hero deliciously trolled Fox News, and is Nicki Minaj's MAGA fandom all about getting pardons for the two sexual predators in her life? 
Jane Coaston joins Tim Miller for the weekend pod.
show notes:

Sunday’s live election preview with Tim and the rest of the gang on Substack and YouTube.

Jane’s pod, “What A Day”

The Bulwark’s campaign to help the Haitian community of Springfield

The Bulwark store

Is it possible Adam Hamilton could be the first Democratic senator elected from Kansas in 94 years? A major new poll is raising hopes there—and in other key Senate races as well. At the same time, the Peltola campaign's unnecessary Sullivan plot is a gift to election deniers. Plus: Performative cruelty is the MAGA initiation rite, Christian Texans who like Talarico are attracted to his decency, Trump gutted the pro-life movement, and Tim makes an impassioned case to Michigan to not vote for religious bigot Mike Rogers.
David French joins Tim Miller.
show notes:

Tim on the Charlie Kirk Show

David on Vivek’s ad

National Review piece Tim and David discussed

Clip of Tim discussing Renee Good killing on the Charlie Kirk Show

The Bulwark’s campaign to help the Haitian community of Springfield

The Bulwark store

One thing to pack, five ways to power! Head to Ridge.com/THEBULWARK for Ridge’s Friends & Family Sale, where you can buy two Ridge Power Banks and get a third FREE.

Trump's (surprisingly) current favorite pollster shares what he's seeing in the numbers less than one week before Election Day. The first sign of what kind of night the Dems are going to have will come when the polls close in Kentucky. But we may have to wait until the wee hours of the morning to learn what happens with the Senate. The Bulwark will be live at 7pm ET. Plus: The Guardian's Julian Borger explains how fear among Arab Israelis was a huge factor in the Israeli election—and may end up redrawing the country's political landscape. And Brazilian voters who were afraid of the Bolsonaro family being back in power delivered the surprising election result there. 
Harry Entenr and The Guardian’s Julian Borger join Tim Miller.
show notes:

Harry on YouTube

CNN’s All Access app

Julian on the Arab Israeli vote

Julian on the elections in Brazil, Israel, Serbia, and the US

John Couvillon, the Republican who tracks early voting that Tim mentioned

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The Bulwark’s campaign to help the Haitian community of Springfield

The Bulwark store

Closing Song: Orville Peck - “It’s the End of the World”

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Democrats offered a glimpse of the accountability that's likely coming over the Epstein cover-up: new allegations of rape against Trump and evidence that strongly suggests Epstein introduced Melania to Trump. And of course, POTUS is standing by Vivek's ad with an endorsement from a mother who inflicted a pedophile on her own daughter. Plus: The Bulwark and "Pablo Torre Finds Out" teamed up for a new poll on the intersection of sports and politics, Pablo shares the skinny on how Vivek is exactly the kind of person who would use that ad against Amy Acton, Republicans are using straight racism as their closing message against El-Sayed, Hegseth's High T schtick is landing with no one, Trump can't quit his obsession with Comey, and Clay Travis stole his Cheesecake Factory valor. 
Sarah Matthews and Pablo Torre join Tim Miller.
show notes:

Tim and Sam discuss the new poll on “Pablo Torre Finds Out”

Brendan on the new poll from The Bulwark and “Pablo Torre Finds Out” 

The January 6 Memory Project

The petition by Vivek’s high school classmates calling on him to pull the ad

Pablo’s Kelly Clarkson show

The Bulwark’s campaign to help the Haitian community of Springfield

The Bulwark store

Closing Song: The War on Drugs - “Suffering”